Four Stocks That Could be Affected by the Paris Agreement Decision (FSLR, BTU)

On Thursday, President Donald Trump officially announced his plan to pull out of the Paris Agreement, a voluntary framework set out by the United Nations on controlling greenhouse gas emissions. The decision was met with condemnation from around the world, with the strongest statement coming from French President Emmanuel Macron. "If we do nothing, our children will know a world of migrations, of wars, of shortage. A dangerous world," Macron said.
It will take a matter of months and even years to gauge the fallout of the decision, but some stocks are already reacting to Thursday's decision.

First Solar

Solar panel manufacturer First Solar Inc. (FSLR
First Solar Inc
FSLR
38.33
+0.03%
) was one of many solar companies that fell Wednesday when reports first surfaced that the U.S. would pull out of the Paris Agreement. The sector shed over $200 million on Wednesday with First Solar falling by as much as 4.4 percent as the outlook for clean energy hit a speed bump.
The Florida-based company regained some losses on Thursday and financially is well equipped to stave off some setbacks with over $2 billion in cash and ST securities, but some believe that given the opportunity companies will take advantage of the reduced framework. "With Trump in office, the pressure for utilities and others to do solar is going to decline. That will negatively affect demand," Gordon Johnson of Axiom Capital Management told Bloomberg.

Peabody

In one of the more ironic reactions after Trump's decision to pull out of the climate agreement was that of Peabody Energy Corp (BTU
Peabody Energy Corp
BTU
23.40
-3.02%
). On the surface, the largest U.S. based coal company would likely benefit from the decision as Trump looks to revitalize the local coal industry. However, fears of a backlash against the coal industry from countries outside the U.S. saw the stock price fall by more than 2 percent on Wednesday, and these losses extended on Thursday as the company shed another 2.5 percent. (See also: Paris Agreement: Pulling Out May Not Help Coal Industry.)
The negative reaction may be more of a realization that despite the push to grow the coal industry, the broad historical trend remains towards renewable energy. According to Reuters, U.S. carbon emissions are near 30-year lows.

EOG Resources

Trump's decision to pull out of the climate agreement is a green light for oil companies. Trump's decision signals a commitment to oil production, which is a hit to the shale oil industry. Shares in Houston-based EOG Resources Inc (EOG
EOG Resources Inc
EOG
89.68
-0.80%
), a leader in the shale revolution fell 2 percent after the news Trump would pull out of the Paris Agreement. Since the election of Trump, EOG Resources and other shale producers have struggled for fears Trump would ramp up the coal industry. Year-to-date EOG Resources is down by 13 percent, and Continental Resources Inc (CLR
Continental Resources Inc
CLR
36.07
-4.70%
), another large player in the shale market, has fallen over 20 percent.

Exxon Mobil

Oil giant Exxon Mobil Corp (XON
Intrexon Corp
XON
22.07
+1.10%
) is a natural winner from the Paris Agreement decision with Trump's continued pledge to unleash the oil industry. Despite the bright outlook, Exxon is one of many oil companies that have condemned the move by Trump saying the climate outlook should take precedent in government policy. "Energy needs are a function of population and living standards,” Darren Woods CEO of Exxon Mobil said at company's annual meeting in January.
"When it comes to policy, the goal should be to reduce emissions at the lowest cost to society."
Former Exxon CEO and now Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was another staunch supporter of the Paris Agreement, but even he couldn't twist the President's arm Thursday. The decision was seen as a battle between Tillerson and White House chief strategist Steve Bannon and when Tillerson did not show up at the Rose Garden press conference it was clear who won.
Either way, Exxon has the resources to survive, but the plea from management is a sign of where priorities lie, and it isn't with climate change skeptics.

The Bottom Line

Despite promising to pull out of the agreement on his campaign, many had thought his recent trip to Europe had swayed him towards remaining in the voluntary agreement. However, his decision to leave has given hope for those with an investment in fossil fuels, while those on the other side of the aisle are looking for solutions to remain green. (See also: Facebook, Apple, Google, Big Business Leaders Urge Trump to Stick to Climate Accord)


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The Best Bathroom Scales

What Is Coal's Future?

On the face of it, coal is under fire from all sides. Subsidies for the world's dirtiest fuel are being phased out by rich nations. Local governments are also on a warpath against the commodity. For example, the mayor of New York City is trying to convince the city's pension funds to divest their coal holdings, which amount to about $33 million. Global demand is also slowing down. The Energy and Information Administration projects lower domestic coal consumption and exports because of the entry of other, major coal producers from the developing world. The Environmental Protection Agency is also cracking down on the industry with regulations, such as the Mercury and Air Toxics Standard (MATS), which has resulted in the closure of a number of coal-fired plants. Natural gas is increasingly replacing coal as the fuel of choice for electricity. According to EIA forecasts, the share of natural gas in generating electricity is forecast to increase to 30% from 27%. And yet things are not as bad they seem. Coal is expected to be the largest source of fuel for generating electricity in the United States by the end of this decade. Even as it predicted lower domestic coal consumption, the EIA report projected that coal production in the U.S. will remain relatively constant over the next three decades. That is because coal represents a cheap and viable source for economic development in developing markets, such as China and India. Given these mixed signals, what then is coal's future? Why Coal Fell Out Of Favor Coal's declining fortunes are a contrast to its earlier status as the fuel of choice. The black rock, as it is popularly known, has been used as an energy source since prehistoric times. It was the invention of the steam locomotive, which was used to ferry coal stacks to different regions, that propelled coal to the center stage of energy choices. Although the industrial revolution started in Britain – it was there that the steam engine was invented, coal made helped the U.S. immensely. Pittsburgh coal mines powered the country's own industrial revolution before the two world wars. The country became the world's largest producer and exporter of coal. After a post-war boom in the 1950s, coal's fortunes began to decline during the 1960s, when alternate sources of fuel, such as oil, became popular. It has been a downhill ride since then. There were just 1,300 coal mines in the country in 2011, down from 9,331 in 1923, when the National Mining Association began measuring industry statistics. The number of workers in the coal industry declined by 87.5% during the same time period. The precipitous change was mainly brought about by the realization of coal's adverse effects on the planet's health. A number of studies over the years have confirmed the culpability of coal in raising global temperatures. The fuel is responsible for emissions of 1.7 billion metric tons a year of carbon dioxide out of the 5.3 billion tons that the U.S. emits annually. In addition to public pressure and government regulations, high operational costs, competition from other fuels and sliding prices have buffeted the coal industry. (See Also: How To Trade In Falling Coal Prices.) The problem is especially acute in the U.S., where 24 coal-mining companies have closed in the last three years alone. For example, the Appalachian coal-mining region became a flash point during the 2012 election cycle, when presidential candidate Mitt Romney blamed the region's problems on EPA regulations. In reality, a combination of cheaper imports from Colombia, rising labor costs and less productive mines brought about the closure of mines there. Mining costs at Powder River Basin, which account for over 40% of America's coal reserves, are comparatively cheaper. But those costs have been rising. The news for exports isn't that good, either. China powered much of the demand for coal in recent years and is the world's largest producer. (See Also: What Country Is The World's Largest Coal Producer?) But the Middle Kingdom is already working to reduce its reliance on coal. In addition, a deep dive in its economy has affected a global commodity slowdown, affecting a diverse swathe of commodity exporters. India is the other big coal consumer, but uses its internal reserves to fire up its economy. Is This Coal's Endgame? Even though it is besieged from all sides, coal still packs a powerful punch in sheer numbers. In fact, according to a report by research firm Wood Mackenzie, coal is expected to surpass oil as the dominant fuel by the end of this decade. Consider this: At 36 quadrillion British thermal units, oil has the maximum standby capacity among all fuels. Despite the forces stacked up against it, coal still ranks third in that list with a capacity of 26 quads. In an essay two years ago, Armond Cohen, director of the Clean Air Task Force, made a persuasive case for coal. “Coal will be central to economic modernization in the developing world, where most energy supply will be built in the next three decades. People who wish otherwise, and simply hope for the demise of coal are not facing the facts,” he wrote. Subsequently, Cohen listed three facts – the role of coal in aiding development in emerging markets, such as China and India, which is expected to become the largest importer of coal by 2020; the relatively miniscule capacity generation by alternate renewable energy sources; and the emergence of new technologies that remove carbon from coal, such as sequestration – to bolster his argument. (See Also: Why Coal Deserves Your Attention Right Now.) The Bottom Line Based on available evidence, it is certain that we are moving away from a world where coal is the primary source of energy to one characterized by a diversified and renewable energy mix. But coal's death won't occur suddenly. Coal's decline will be slow and measured because much of the world is still economically dependent on the fuel as a cheap source of energy. Read more: What Is Coal's Future? | Investopedia http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/101315/what-coals-future.asp#ixzz4ivSJVM5p Follow us: Investopedia on Facebook